Hack #45: Predict the Length of a Lifetime

Many of us instinctively trust that things that have been around a long time are likely to be around a lot longer, and things that haven't, aren't. The formalization of this heuristic is known as Gott's Principle, and the math is easy to do.

Additions and Suggestions

Concrete ideas to modify and expand this hack go here.

Discussion

Freeform discussion of this hack goes here.

Links

• Gott, J. Richard III. "A Grim Reckoning": http://pthbb.org/manual/services/grim

Errata

Errata go here.

Hack Author

Ron Hale-Evans

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This is a page for a hack from the book MindPerformanceHacks by Ron Hale-Evans.